报告来源:http://www.bimarket.cn/Report/ReportInfo.aspx?Id=20089
Abstract
BMI forecasts an 11.9% increase in vehicle sales in 2014. This comes from an expected 9% increase in the passenger car segment and 29.3% rise in commercial vehicle (CV) sales. BMI forecast 9% growth in passenger car sales in 2014 on the back of the extension of the vehicle scrappage scheme buoying sentiment and pent-up demand from sustained declines in recent years, despite the country's weak consumer story dampening demand for big ticket purchases.
BMI forecast 30% growth in the LCV segment and 25% growth in heavy truck sales in 2014. We expect the country's construction and manufacturing sectors to remain lacklustre, but we believe that pent-up demand in the segment will help buoy the sector over the year. BMI forecasts vehicle production in Spain to increase 8.6% in 2014. This comes from an expected 6% increase in passenger car output over the year and a 20% increase in CV production.
Table of Contents
BMI Industry View ..................................... 7
SWOT ............................................ 8
Political ................................................. 9
Economic ................................................. 10
Business Environment .......................................... 11
Industry Forecast ...................................... 12
Production, Sales and Trade ........................................ 12
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Spain 2012-2018) . . . . . . . . . 12
Sales Forecasts and Analysis ........................................ 12
Production Forecasts And Analysis ..................................... 14
Industry News .............................................. 14
Passenger Cars ............................................. 16
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Spain 2012-2018) . . . . . . . . 16
Sales .................................................. 16
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Production ................................................ 19
Commercial Vehicles ............................................ 22
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Spain 2012-2018) ........... 22
Sales .................................................. 23
Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Sales By Brand ............................... 24
Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Production ................................................ 26
Motorcycles ................................................ 27
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Spain 2012-2018) . . . . . . . . . . 27
Sales .................................................. 27
Production ................................................ 29
Suppliers ................................................ 30
Macroeconomic Forecasts ................................. 31
Economic Analysis ............................................. 31
Table: Spain - Economic Activity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .............................. 37
Europe - Risk/Reward Ratings ........................................ 37
Table: Europe Industry Risk Rewards Ratings Table . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Company Profile ...................................... 42
Honda Motor .............................................. 42
Regional Overview .................................... 44
Europe Overview ............................................. 44
Global Industry Overview .................................. 47
Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
European Growth Gathers Momentum ................................... 47
Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout ..................................... 49
China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness ................................... 50
Demographic Forecast ................................... 53
Table: Spain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
Table: Spain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
Table: Spain's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 ............................... 56
Table: Spain's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
Methodology ........................................ 57
Industry Forecasts ............................................ 57
Sector-Specific Methodology ........................................ 58
Sources ................................................ 58
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology .................................... 59
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators . . . . . . . . 60
报告来源:http://www.bimarket.cn/Report/ReportInfo.aspx?Id=20089